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Some of the other paying ”catches” on a 20 spot ticket or any other ticket with high ”solid catch” odds are in reality very possible to hit: Hits Probability 0 1 in 843.380 (0.11857057%) 1 1 in 86.446 (1.15678605%) 2 1 in 20.115 (4.97142576%) 3 1 in 8.009 (12.48637168%) 4 1 in 4.877 (20.50318987%) 5 1 in 4.287 (23.32807380%) 6 1 in 5.258 (19.01745147%) 7 1 in 8.826 (11.32954556%) 8 1 in 20.055 (4.98618021%) 9 1 in 61.420 (1.62814048%) 10 1 in 253.801 (0.39401000%) 11 1 in 1,423.822 (0.07023351%) 12 1 in 10,968.701 (0.00911685%) 13 1 in 118,084.920 (0.00084685%) 14 1 in 1,821,881.628 (0.00005489%) 15 1 in 41,751,453.986 (0.00000240%) 16 1 in 1,496,372,110.872 (0.00000007%) 17 1 in 90,624,035,964.712 18 1 in 10,512,388,171,906.553 19 1 in 2,946,096,785,176,811.500 20 1 in 3,535,316,142,212,173,800.000 Probabilities change significantly based on the number of spots and numbers that are picked on each ticket. Keno probabilities come from a hypergeometric distribution. [13] [14] For Keno, one calculates the probability of hitting exactly r spots on an n -spot ticket by the formula: P(hitting r spots) = ( n r ) × ( 80 − n 20 − r ) ( 80 20 ) \times \choose > \over >> for an n -spot ticket. To calculate the probability of hitting 4 spots on a 6-spot ticket, the formula is: P ( X = 4 ) = ( 6 4 ) ( 80 − 6 20 − 4 ) ( 80 20 ) ≈ 0.02853791 \choose >> \over >\approx 0.02853791> where ( n r ) > is calculated as n ! r ! ( n − r ) ! , where X! is notation for X factorial. Spreadsheets have the function COMBIN(n,r) to calculate ( n r ) > . To calculate ”odds-to-1”, divide the probability into 1.0 and subtract 1 from the result. ^ Online Keno odds ^ Shackleford, Michael. ”Keno - Strategy and Odds by The Wizard of Odds”. Wizard Of Odds Consulting, Inc . Retrieved 21 July 2010 . ^ ”What is the House Edge?”. Kiowa Casino - Oklahoma Casino . 2 January 2020 .
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