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Football Betting ‘How To’ – Correct score betting. To some extent they’re right. Who would have predicted that United would lose 2-1 and Chelsea would go down 2-0 at home? Certainly not the expert pundits, or most punters at the bookies. But I backed both scores correctly: the first at 16/1 and the second at an immensely satisfying 109/1. A week earlier I’d also plumped for Arsenal to beat Newcastle 3-2 at 33/1 (they did), and my mood was further enhanced when Fulham triumphed 2-0 at Blackburn. I’d backed that at 49/1, so as you can imagine, I was flying. The mug punter A childhood friend of mine is bright, excellent company and successful. Yet his most striking feature is that he’s a terrible gambler. Resultados antigos da quina.Escolha o tamanho da sua aposta usando as setas ou nas definições. Para a slot Scarface a aposta mínima é 0.01 na moeda da sua conta de jogo de casino, e a aposta máxima é 0.5.
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If, on the other hand, you were betting on a basketball game, where scoring is more frequent, the Poisson distribution wouldn’t be applicable. Applying the theory. The easiest way to calculate the average is to divide the number of goals a team has scored (let’s say, this season) by the number of games it has played. While this approach is better than simply guessing that tonight’s game is going to finish 2-1, I recommend you use a more accurate approach, taking into account the relative strengths of each side. The best bit here is that you don’t have to work any of this out for yourself, as all spread betting companies will have done the hard work for you. They publish spreads on supremacy and total goals for most top football matches and they (usually) know what they’re talking about. So if total goals are quoted at 2 and supremacy is 0.4, your average goals are 1.2 and 0.8. What is the chance of the match finishing 0-0, for example? You know the probabilities on each side failing to score are 20 per cent and 30 per cent, so you simply multiply these figures together to tell you that result has a six per cent chance of happening (0.2 x 0.3 = 0.06). Similarly, a 1-1 draw has an 11.5 per cent chance of happening (0.32 x 0.36 = 0.115), while there’s a 7.8 per cent chance of a 2-0 home win (0.26 x 0.3 = 0.078). The striking thing about these calculations is they show how unlikely you are to actually pick the correct score. A 2-0 home win would hardly class as a shock result, yet you’re only going to get that one right 7.8 per cent of the time. That’s why bookies make money. You think there’s a greater chance of something happening than there actually is and you bet on it.
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